Mahoning Valley 11/9

Race notes for Wednesday (expecting slop)

Race 1 – Fort Erie shippers are 3/16; Elliot Sullivan is 1/7 with those types. Belterra shippers are 11/118; Larry Smith is 0/4 with those types. Horses second race over the strip are 3/29. Shippers from Indiana are 1/26. Shippers from Mountaineer are 4/68. The rail may not be kind to #1 AIMER MIEUX unless she leaves early which is’t her typical deal. #4 REMEMBER ROSIE won here 31Oct despite her Belterra roots. #3 GLORY RANGE has done all of his winning at Belterra but one of those wins was in front running style over a muddy track. 

Race 2 -This is the first route of the season for 2yo filly maidens. The lack of a front running type makes this race tough to handicap.

Race 3 – Presque Isle shippers are 5/27 (well above last season’s 7% in 88 tries) #2 DESERT TUNE has struggled getting to the races since her 2yo season but was a G1 runner a year ago; probably gets a tracking trip today. Eric Reed apparently has very high hopes for #5 FOUND A DIAMOND.

Race 4 – Loren Cox was a 22% trainer here last season. #6 HOUSE OF PRAYER grabbed two wins for him. 30/1 looks juicy on #7 HE’S ETAIN is another “horse for course.”

Race 5 – Robert Gorham’s horses have been out running their odds. It looks like his entry will run featuring a rabbit and a closer. #6 SUPER HUMOR beat six out seven for $50k at Keeneland shipping there from Presque Isle.

Race 6 – Winner should be one of the “needs the lead” types (#8,#9,#10). However #10 PREMIER ACCESS stalked tough NIKISPRING at Thistledown 26Sept on sloppy track.

Race 7 – Mike Pappada (#9 PYRO CITY) won at 25% percent clip here last year. Today’s runner is the first in from his Presque Isle string. He was 2/2 with his Erie to Austintown shippers in 2015. Sarvis may have had his choice of mounts. #5 WALK AWAY SLOW is off two solid efforts in Cleveland; class drop.

Race 8 – Four second timers in here (#1,#4,#10,#11). #3 ENLESS ESCAPE ships from Mountaineer but was competitive elsewhere and could get loose while others scramble from wider posts. (#1 SHAWKLIT MILKSHAKE has done me wrong plenty).

Pick-6 starts in race 3 – 2,5/6,7/1,6/10/5,9/3

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