Mahoning Valley 11/22

Race notes for Tuesday

Race 1
2 EKATI WARRIOR drops /big fig/dist* second
3 SECRET INVASION mvr
6 CARAMELO drops/dist – third
8 OGEE’S EKATI drops/dist – fourth
======================
4 TIGER HALL –  $24.80 winner

Race 2
2 CARSON PASS mvr/dist/versitile – $7.40 winner
5 IM MR RIGHT mvr/dist/back class/stalker* – fourth
7 PISCEAN REALIST mvr/dist/early – second

Race 3
1 DEVOTED WILDCAT drops off even trip here
2 DESTINY’S SONG value play/dist/surface* – $23.20 winner
3 BUONGIORNO JOHNNY ships from wo off form – third
4 MISTERBULLTOYOU up off win here – fourth
5 ALEXANDER THEGREAT vulnaerable ml favorite/dist?
6 HAPPY TO BE HERE last time was his time
7 PROPER TOUCH early runner style could hurt today – second

Race 4
3 FLYING KING experienced router/haw/Pilares* – $2.60 winner
5 BLACK SHRECK fits at a mile
10 CITY SAVVY barn has shipped a winner from haw – second

Race 5
1 FLATHEAD RIVER dist/B Baird/haw history
2 JUST A MINUTE consistent/ntl/dist – fourth
4 BETTER SHINE returns to winning level/ntl – $8.00 winner
7 BETTERBYTHEMINUTE gets needed set up/dist?* – second
9 RICO SUAVE classiest/turf/ntl

Race 6
1 (PP5) FARLEY’S MANDATE dist/mvr/ntl
1A (PP12) TOP OF THE WORLD dist/mvr/ntl
2 BARBWIREBILLY 3/3 at tdn/stalker
5 MAGIC APPLE very game/top figs/NTL – $5.60 winner
6 SOLAR MAXIMUS mvr+/fresh/stalker – fourth
7 NICE SHOT ntl/dist
8 HARD ENOUGH sharp since migrating/fresh/bullet work
9 TONY’S AWARD dist+/mvr/stalker* – otb
10 PRECISE SHOT consistent/slow?
11 OLD MOUNTAIN LANE War Front/back class/ undefeated on local circuit – second

Race 7
3 CLAPHAM HEIGHTS sharp first rip mvr/ntl/cuts/up – third
5 ROCK N HEART mvr-/dist – second
6 ALIZA’S DREAM sharp last here/dist/versitile* – $5.40 winner
8 MANAUS dist
9 CULPEPPER CREEK ohio-bred/presser
10 RUN RUN dist
11 CRASH MAGEE dist/ntl/sped and fade
12 WORTH A PUNT 25% 9yo – fourth

Race 8
1 CAL’S LEGEND stalker facing speed* – second
2 MISS LILY MAE
3 GREATER ntl – third

4 AWESOME SWIRL mvr/prepped/presser
5 MISS GOLDRUSH GAL up off win
8 TRUMPET’S EMINENCE just missed v similar/ntl
9 WARREN’S CRACKER switching to sprint – $4.40 winner
10 HONEYBOOBOO mvr

12 I GOT THE TIME stalker/tough post – fourth

Race 9
2 AVANZANDO needs a race
3 WALK AWAY SLOW presser/back class* – fourth
8 SHAWKLIT MILKSHAKE  dist/mvr/early/sharp last – second
10 ROCKABYE dist
===============
7 FOREST BLAZE – $17.40 winner

Mahoning Valley 11/21

Race notes for Monday

Race 1

1A LUNAR FOLLY  much faster over this strip than others in 2016; second to tough WEST EIGHTH STREET last time * Second
================================
1 TAKE AFTER ME – $2.40

Race 2
2 DISCREET FLOWER (TDN) never sharper; running style fits* $11.40 winner
4 LITTLE MISS TIOGA proper condition/distance; slow

6 DANCE ELECTRIC (MVR) n3l win 1Nov*
8 AUDRE’S ACES back class at WO
10 ROOTS hoping to stretch for DaCosta/Walter

Race 3
1 HE’S TAKEN big figs last two here*
4 BABA BOOEY deserves a look at 20/1
5 DIAKON return to winning level for Cowans
6 EASY BLING looks for another pocket trip
7 JUST A PINCH drops; likes MVR – $40.00 winner
8 CITY SLAMMER dominated last; has never repeated
9 FLIP DADDY question mark at MVR
*Scratch

Race 4
1 EVEN ECHO selection last time did not fire
2 PERFECT WIND cutback fits; Edgar returns
4 THWART gets targets today* – Sixth
5 MR. HANDSOME  upset alert – Radosevich
6 GLOBAL SLOWDOWN – sharp now
7 PEARL OF WISDOM best distance – $40.00 winner
10 WAKBOARDER another duel with #2?

*Race 5
1 SAMBUCCA STEVE won from this post v lesser 5Nov
2 SANDCAT even trip; good fig at lthis level 7Nov
4 GLOBAL ALLIANCE upset alert (Pappada) likes distance
5 CORNERBACK SACK stepping up off upset win (slop)
6 RIDE THE TIGER returns to reasonable company* – Third
7 OUR NOBLE HEART speedster from Belterra
8 SPIN WILD another Sullivan claim and drop (WO) fast

9 PERRY M speedy with east coast history – $10.20 winner


Race 6
1 LUCKYALLMYLIFE slower than top couple
2 KYLES MAIRGOLD speeding; stepping up
3 REGINA MARINA solid in G2 PID Masters; presser* $5.20 winner
4 NEEDMORE FLATTERY rich Ohio bred struggling
5 FIREY DIAMOND local question mark
6 DONITA’S RULER quickest early; local jock
7 SHE’S A BOOTSY TOO off since April
8 TIFFANY CASE fourth in 2015
9 HELLUVA NOTION “horse for course”; early pace

Race 7
1 NCARADALIC RACKS insures early pace; claimer
2 RIDING THE WIND local hope
3  AWESOME BANNER won G2 Swale in Jan; sharp works* First/placed second dq
4 WILL MUNNINGS talented regional stakes runner
5 BANDWIDTH claimer from the east; up front early
6 SECOND SHOT local hope
7 POCKET MONEY 6f  G3 winner on dirt in July; Geroux rides
8 MO DONT NO premier Ohio stakes runner; chance late – $13.80 winner; second/placed first

Race 8
2 IN GIANTS’ BOOTS quick FE claim; Sullivan
3 DESERT DARLIN slow? Gorham heating up

5 WHO’S THE FAIREST out dueled last time
7 PEA DIDDLE lightly raced maiden breaker; good fig* first/placed second dq
=====================================================================
10 UNBRIDLED FANCY $8.00 winner; second/placed first

Race 9
6 JUST CHILLIN BOSS sharp here in 2014
1A ACE RICH big fig losing duel last
7 MASQUERADE PARTY fast dropper from FE; Sullivan claim* Third
=============================================================
3 FLAT RIVER $18.40 winner

Mahoning Valley 11/19

Winning shippers* through November 16:
09/104 09% BTP
01/005 20% CD
03/019 16% FE
02/039 05%  IND
04/010 40% KEE
09/105 09% MNR
06/044 14% PID
44/378 12% TDN
*at least five starters

Race over this track:
22/164 13% MVR

Race notes for Saturday

Race 1 – #8 TAPPIN THE MAGIC appears the most persistent of these. #3 THEANA is an Uncle Mo filly that showed some early run before backing out of tight quarters and getting bogged down on sloppy rail last time; adds blinkers today.
>Winner 8-6-2-1-$6.20

Race 2 – Second to a next time winner 5Nov #7 FORESTER’S DIVA may encounter a softer group today. Indiana invader #3 ORALEE has scratched twice since her spirited loss.
>Winner 7*-1-2-8-$5.80

Race 3 – #3 UNBRIDLED LEADER popped at first 2016 asking against Buckeyes. #8 LAID BACK LADY (1/17) touts the best speed figs; could wake up for new barn trying one turn.
>OTB-7-8*-5-2-$73.60

Race 4 – #9 BOSS MAN BOB seems well spotted to repeat; PID experience helps. #10 SWEEPING VICTORY  gets Megan back with class relief. “Horses for course” #1 AVGOLEMONO and #8 RIDE IN THE PARK are tempting longshots.
>Fourth-5-7-2-9*-$7.40

Race 5 –#3 POW WOW PAL has been competitive off the bench at larger venues; drop in class may off set distance concerns. #8 (pp9) OLSTONE FARMHOUSE is capable of carrying the distance off similar efforts out of town. (Scratch #3 POW WOW PAL)
>OTB-5-1A-1-5-$29.20

Race 6 – #11 WEST EIGHTH STREET broke his maiden with an impressive trip and clocking for her new connections 31Oct; wide post in bulky field could be an issue.#7 TRUE ALL ALONG* was out dueled while besting a handful of these last time. *BLINGITONAGAIN’s performance in the fifth race should be considered here – he headed #7 TRUE ALL ALONG and others in this field 2Nov.
>Second-1-11*-12-10-$21.60

Race 7 – (OHIO ACCREDITED STAKE)  Defending champ #5 DENIRO’S SAINT tries to repeat off long works; proven at this distance and clqss when fit. #3 LEONA’S REWARD has never been better; looking to catch the champ short.
>Second-3-5*-6-2-$4.60

Race 8 – (OHIO REGISTERED STAKE) Recent Ohio Sprint champ #3 RIVERS RUN DEEP is the only runner to defeat MO DONT NO in Ohio company since Mo’s debut effort in May. Perhaps lighter 2016 schedule gives him a slight advantage today. #1 MO DONT NO has recorded Ohio stakes wins at distances from six to ten furlongs; lots of heart. #7 CANDY BITES usually forces the pace and hangs with the big two. (Scratch #1 MO DONT NO)
>Winner-3*-6-7*-4-$3.80

Race 9 – How does $625k Keeneland purchase #1 PESUASION by Distorted Humor land in Austintown along with #4 BROTHERLY ($335k by Blame)? Early running style favors # BROTHERLY competitive at this level on the grass.
>OTB-5-1-2*-3-$113.40

Mahoning Valley 11/14

Race notes for Monday

A race over the track is a positive – NO horse has repeated so far in the meet.

Race 1 – Outside post and early foot aid #8 ORALEE. #2 DANCEWHILEITSTROMS could sharpen at her best distance.

Race 2 – #5 HELLUVA NOTION finds her best speed here. #2 ONCE MORE FOR LOVE matched strides with HELLUVA NOTION after a slow start 07Oct.

Race 3 – #5 CUBICLE QUEEN fits at today’s distance. #6 CANTICO always brings her “A” game.

Race 4 – #9 TIZ A CHARM was over matched last time. #8 FUNNY MORNING wanted more ground last time. William Cowans (#6 SPIRIT FINGERS) debuts maiden special weights at 28%.

Race 5 – Mountaineer shipper #5 BELLA FIGLIA has been solid against better in the east. #9 (PP10) HIGH ARCH MISS danced last time with MEDIA STAR who won here 31Oct. Early speed puts #1 (PP3) CATAFIRE into play despite crummy record here.

Race 6 – #4 TALENT MAN (3/6 here) is the first starter this meet for Sharon Ruberto a 33% trainer last season.  #10 FORCE MULTIPLIER (6/16 here) is stuck in the eleven hole. #2 (PP1) HIGH MYSTERY (7/9 in the exacta here) gets first jump along the rail.

Race 7 – Recent success here at today’s distance gives #5 RIGHTEOUS RIDE an opportunity to repeat. #4 SCHADDEI is the late threat for a barn that goes route to sprint at a 32% clip.

Race 8 – #2 TRUE CINDER has been sprinting with Ohio’s top 2yo filly prospects all summer. #9 MIZZ QUOTED exits Ohio stakes company going two turns.

Mahoning Valley 11/12

Race notes for Saturday

Race 1 – Getting of the rail won’t hurt #5 CATMAR he was herded way inside at the break last time. Speed along the rail gives #1 CALEB’S DESIRE a shot to upset with lifetime best effort.

Race 2 – #6 FLORIDA GEM is suddenly back in shape while racing at a reasonable level. #3 LEOTA ROCKSTAR went too fast too soon last time; improved post position today.
Pick-3: 6/1,8/4,7,8

Race 3 – Two “horses for this course” #1 ROOM FOR APTITUDE and #8 CINDER TIME (4/6) have been freshened for this meet. If fit, their back class fills the exacta.
Exacta box: 1/8     Pick-6: 1,8/4/6,8/3/5/3

Race 4 – Today’s cut back could spell victory #4 IFYOUSNOOZEYOULOSE; under achiever since being sent to the midwest. #8 CIG CIEGA has been working steadily toward this return to racing after a year away; well bred but risky at a short price. John Bourke has been sending his entries (#7 SIGNAL RIDGE) to post full of run.

Race 5 – The return to his preferred distance enhances the chance for always speedy #6 RUSSIAN RHAPSODY who was run down on an opening day surface unkind to front runners. Recency, success at the distance along with 20/1 morning line make #8 BIRDIE NUM NUMS an interesting upset candidate.
Win: #8     Pick-4: 8/3,6,10/5/3

Scratch of #8 BIRDIE NUM NUMS blows up pick-4

Race 6 – Lots of lost sheep looking for a friendly home in this one. #3 ICHTLI may have landed at a racing venue that she’ll enjoy. #10 MUCUBAJI, daughter of Eskenderya, resurfaces here after breaking her maiden in New York last spring. #6 DON’T GIVE WAY (1/26) shows a good trip over this surface that can’t be ignored.

Scratch of #3 ICHTLI blows up pick-6

Race 7 – Head to head match-ups favor #5 NIKISPRING. #6 IF I looked like a winner last time; today’s cut back helps his hopes.
Win: #5

Race 8 – Perhaps the new environment can help #3 OLD KEY WEST stretch his speed in this toss up. Only #12 CHOP SUEY showed any spark among those with a trip here this fall.

Mahoning Valley 11/9

Race notes for Wednesday (expecting slop)

Race 1 – Fort Erie shippers are 3/16; Elliot Sullivan is 1/7 with those types. Belterra shippers are 11/118; Larry Smith is 0/4 with those types. Horses second race over the strip are 3/29. Shippers from Indiana are 1/26. Shippers from Mountaineer are 4/68. The rail may not be kind to #1 AIMER MIEUX unless she leaves early which is’t her typical deal. #4 REMEMBER ROSIE won here 31Oct despite her Belterra roots. #3 GLORY RANGE has done all of his winning at Belterra but one of those wins was in front running style over a muddy track. 

Race 2 -This is the first route of the season for 2yo filly maidens. The lack of a front running type makes this race tough to handicap.

Race 3 – Presque Isle shippers are 5/27 (well above last season’s 7% in 88 tries) #2 DESERT TUNE has struggled getting to the races since her 2yo season but was a G1 runner a year ago; probably gets a tracking trip today. Eric Reed apparently has very high hopes for #5 FOUND A DIAMOND.

Race 4 – Loren Cox was a 22% trainer here last season. #6 HOUSE OF PRAYER grabbed two wins for him. 30/1 looks juicy on #7 HE’S ETAIN is another “horse for course.”

Race 5 – Robert Gorham’s horses have been out running their odds. It looks like his entry will run featuring a rabbit and a closer. #6 SUPER HUMOR beat six out seven for $50k at Keeneland shipping there from Presque Isle.

Race 6 – Winner should be one of the “needs the lead” types (#8,#9,#10). However #10 PREMIER ACCESS stalked tough NIKISPRING at Thistledown 26Sept on sloppy track.

Race 7 – Mike Pappada (#9 PYRO CITY) won at 25% percent clip here last year. Today’s runner is the first in from his Presque Isle string. He was 2/2 with his Erie to Austintown shippers in 2015. Sarvis may have had his choice of mounts. #5 WALK AWAY SLOW is off two solid efforts in Cleveland; class drop.

Race 8 – Four second timers in here (#1,#4,#10,#11). #3 ENLESS ESCAPE ships from Mountaineer but was competitive elsewhere and could get loose while others scramble from wider posts. (#1 SHAWKLIT MILKSHAKE has done me wrong plenty).

Pick-6 starts in race 3 – 2,5/6,7/1,6/10/5,9/3

Mahoning Valley 11/7

Race notes for Monday

Race 1 – #5 SECRET BETRAYAL probably gets pocket trip should handle dirt. Early running style gives #2 CLASSICSISTER JILL a chance. 1-6-2*-5* ($11.40)

Race 2 – #2 HOOSIER ROAD has taken an interesting route to this race; much the best if healthy and fit. #5 CASE ACE has been prepping forwardly here for his return to racing. 6-7-2*-3 ($12.60)

Race 3 – Looks like the right time and place for a Sullivan import #8 SHE’S ALL THAT to pop. #4 RED VELET LADY goes second of lay off; broke maiden here a year ago. $4.40 winner 8*-4*-5-7

Race 4 – #6 PAJAMA JO is undefeated . . . ? Rough bunch to separate. 1-4-3-7 ($7.00)

Race 5 – #2 (PP1) COQUETONA controls her own destiny gunning along the rail after a good effort against better. #8 OPTIMISM has all the markings of a horse that is going to do well here; this is a challenging test. $7.20 winner 2*-6-7-3

Race 6 – #7 (PP8) TEPU WAR returns to a realistic level. #4 CONTE; hot barn, consistent warrior. 6-7*-1-8 ($11.00)

Race 7 – #8 CALL ME CLEVER looks like the early runner most likely to last 6f. #6 VEXATIOUS VIXEN was my choice 28Oct when he dumped Edgar; Canadian speedster. 7-10-9-6* ($6.00)

Race 8 – Early runner#6 CROWN POLIS returns at a tasty level for solid MNR barn shipping in. Scratch #6 CROWN POLIS 10-9-7-1 ($4.40)